Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class narrowing education and gender gaps innovations in communications technologies improving health. The us has regained its position as the worlds largest natural gas producer and expanded the life of its reserves from 30 to 100 years due to hydraulic fracturing technology. The nics companion report to global trends 2030, entitled le menu, provides the cliffs notes description of this third alternative world this way. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. In a likely tectonic shift, the united states could become energyindependent. Alternative worlds kindle edition by mathew burrows. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the. Isbn 1572840994 glutenfree baking classics pdf epub. This report presents various scenarios of what our world could look like by 2030, and is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing. To preempt these problems, forecasting future drug safety trends and. About this site the national intelligence council nic is a u.
Global trends 2030 compared with the 2052 global forecast. Alternative worlds, the national intelligence council provides a hypothesis of political and geographic factors that could influence the world in the year 2030. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. These 5 countries will dominate the global economy in 2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. National intelligence council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades. Share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030. Brainmachine interfaces could provide superhuman abilities, enhancing strength and speed. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years.
Alternative worlds report is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. Transhumanism in the national intelligence councils. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Alternative worlds, published in 2012 by the national intelligence council, is one of the sources that parag khanna uses in connectography 2016. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. These challenges and opportunities span multiple business areas, including strategy, human resources, crosscultural management, and marketing, while operating simultaneously at the functional.
How these six gamechangers evolve and interact with each other and with the megatrends and tectonic shifts will determine what kind of transformed world we will experience in 2030. It also critiques it on grounds that include failing to learn from feedback on the 2005 report, over. A transformed world globalizing economy, demographics of discord, new players, scarcity in the midst of plenty, potential for conflict, powersharing in a multipolar world by progressive management available from rakuten kobo. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. The office of the director of national intelligence will host a press briefing to discuss the release of global trends 2030. Instead of a set of cassandralike forecasts of doom or a pollyannaish burst of optimism, global trends 2030 offers a balanced presentation on how the world. Alternative worlds, provides a thoughtprovoking read for any money manager who even minimally considers a longterm. The national intelligence council has issued global trends 2030. One of their members has asked the director of her strategic vision office to write.
Government entity, operating as part of the office of the director of national intelligence odni. The aging of the worlds population and its effects on global. Several innovations are included in global trends 2030, including. The empowerment of individuals and diffusion of power among states and from states to informal networks will have a dramatic impact. Global trends 2030 by progressive management overdrive. It presents these models with a caveat, by noting that none of these alternative worlds are inevitable and in reality, the future will probably consist of elements from all the scenarios. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. A century in exile pdf epub isbn 1572840994 glutenfree baking classics pdf epub. By 2030, no countrywhether the us, china, or any other large countrywill be a hegemonic power. Assignmentsopposing school uniforms essay posted by dtw winning. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. About this site global trends 2030 alternative worlds. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Alternative worlds volume 5 by intelligence council at over 30 bookstores.
The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. Global trends 2030s six potential gamechangers the vast changes resulting from the megatrends and tectonic shifts alone ensure a transformed world by 2030. Analysis of issues and future trends impacting drug safety in south. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. Dec, 2012 global spare capacity may exceed over 8 million barrels, at which point opec would lose price control and crude oil prices would collapse, causing a major negative impact on oilexport economies. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 15. Alternative worlds global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. On the sidelines of the annual davos meeting, a number of multinational ceos gather to discuss what they see as globalization stalling out.
Books by national research council author of global trends 2030. I wasnt familiar with some abbreviated titles andor words. The national intelligence council published its global trends 2030. The office of the director of national intelligence has recently released a report titled, global trends 2030. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The us has regained its position as the worlds largest natural gas producer and. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years.
New and emerging technologies that favor greater empowerment of individuals, small groups and ad hoc coalition spur the. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or. Alternative worlds kindle edition by national intelligence council. Slaughter1 abstract the article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of scenarios. Dec 07, 2014 however, the combination of trends, game changers, and alternative worlds provides sufficient breadth of analysis to give any critic an idea of how alternative global scenarios may arise. A critique of global trends 2030alternative worlds. Alternative worlds american intelligence agency report on the megatrends, gamechangers, and black swans of the future, the. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. Global trends 2030 identifies a number of other factors pertinent to the future probability of war, including power transitions, declining us military superiority, resource scarcity, new coercive technologies such as cyberweapons, precisionstrike capability, and bioweapons, and unresolved regional conflicts. Individual empowerment will accelerate substantially during the next 1520 years owing to poverty. The following are some selected excerpts from this report. Isbn 0397554729 manual of ambulatory pediatrics pdf epub.
The reports says these interfaces could also potentially give humans new abilities not. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. The publication is compiled of four megatrends, gamechangers, and potential worlds that make a framework for the future of the world. Jan 07, 20 global spare capacity may exceed over 8 million barrels, at which point opec would lose price control and crude oil prices would collapse, causing a major negative impact on oilexport economies. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the. We go deeper into the bowels and truth about foot strike and try to further dispell the myths that are abundant on the topic. Alternative worlds, intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The nic is sponsoring this website to provide a forum where guest bloggers can discuss selected topics to be raised in the nics upcoming global trends 2030 gt2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030.
Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead provide a framework for thinking. Isbn 0448461587 max has a fish penguin young readers, l1 pdf epub.
These are the unanswered questions about pandemics which appear in the box on page. Alternative worlds pdf epub isbn 1933346329 the popes of avignon. Some of the examined probable futures are optimistic but some are very scary as well. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles. Isbn 1560768428 encyclopedia magica, volume 1 pdf epub. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. The rapid aging of the world s population will bring unprecedented and important changes in the global economic environment, creating unique challenges and opportunities for businesses worldwide. Dec 01, 2012 looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. As with the nics previous global trends reports, nic does not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead provides a. Peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. United states national intelligence council us nic. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends.
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